Week 4 Gut Feelings

Three weeks into the 2016 season, we have found out my gut is very unreliable. Not just unreliable but horribly wrong and not to be trusted. I do think my gut gets a little break as I’m trying to dive deep…deep down in my gut where there is nothing good…deep into the place where no one else wants to go…the kind of gut feelings that, if they hit, would win a lot of money in daily fantasy.

Week three saw not one of my gut feelings come to fruition. Week three showed the unpredictable nature of fantasy football. The two best running backs were the two Atlanta running backs. Yes, two running backs on the same team set the pace in week three. If that wasn’t crazy enough, try these on for size: There was a Detroit wide receiver on top this week, and it wasn’t Calvin Johnson. A Cleveland wide receiver cracked the top four. There was a Rams wide receiver inside the top 10, the same Rams that did not score an offensive touchdown through the first two weeks. Also, the first five wide receivers drafted in the Grown Mens’ League were all outside the top ten. The top ten QBs in week three contained three rookie quarterbacks and a back-up journeyman. Why do we even put ourselves through this agony and misery?

The Ravens rushing attack has been crap. That’s right, just a big old stinky log. The coaches have came out and said they need to get the rushing game going. There are plenty of options to chose from in their crowded backfield now that Kenneth Dixon is back at practice. But the man to lead the rushing attack in week four will be Javouris Allen. Yes the same Javouris Allen that hasn’t even been active on a Sunday yet.

Week four brings the first London game of the year. Indy will have their first across-the-pond experience, against the Jaguars. The Jags have been disappointing from top to bottom, bu this is the week things start to look up. Blake Bortles will be a top-five quarter back. Allen Robinson and Allen Hurns will be top-fifteen wide receivers. The run game…well the running game will stay on the bottom. The fourth-best quarterback from last year will go back to his gunslinger ways and just maybe save his coach his job.

Rex Ryan always does just enough to save his career. But man does he know how to get his team pumped up for certain games. Look at week three for a prime example. Now he gets to go to Foxboro where there is magic in the air. Bill Belichick has just gone old school and ran the ball down his oppents throats with Blount. 3-0 is better then everyone thought the Patriots would do without Brady, and Gron’s been out on top of that. So it would be ok to lose one right? Wrong. The Bill Belichick’s tricks will come to light this week, and James White will be the best running back in the week-four match-up between the Patriots and Bills.

Amari Cooper has been quiet in 2016 through three weeks. A two-point conversion and consistant play from Micheal Crabtree has him one point better on the season then Cooper. In week 4, Amari Cooper will separate himself has the clear number-one wide reciver on the team. Cooper will go for a hundred-plus yards and two touch downs.

The race for last place in the NFC North will be in full tilt in week four. The Lions travel to Soldier Field. Both teams have been forced to move back-up running backs into the starting roll. The rookies will try to take the job and run with it. Ha ha! See what I did there? Run with it…I crack myself up. Dwayne Washington is on a team that would like to not even run the ball if they were honest with themselves. Jordan Howard is on a team trying to find a identity. I beilive both of them are solid this week. Jordan Howard is ranked eighteenth and Washington comes in at thirtieth. Washington will have the better fantasy day and both will be top-fifteen plays in week four.

The number-one fantasy quarter back through three weeks is Matt Ryan. Experts say trade Matt Ryan if you can get anything for him. They say sell, sell, sell all your Falcons players (except Julio of course. Unless someone makes you a offer you can’t refuse, you do not ever sell Julio Jones.) Cam Newton is bruised and battered after his eight sacks against the Vikings in week three. You think he’s mad? You think the Panthers as a team aren’t pissed about getting trucked at home? Bad news for the Falcons right? Wrong. Stay in the flames of Matt Ryan. Cam Newton may easily be the top quarterback in week four but Matt Ryan will also be a top-five option in week 4…and moving forward.

Jordan Reed. Oh, Jordan Reed. Number eighty-six where have you been? The tight end drafted number two in 2016 is currently ranked as the sixteenth tight end. It’s a get-right week. Jordan Reed will eat in week four. Top tight end.

What has happened to the Arizona Cardinals? The top offensive output in 2015 just got a good old fashion butt whooping by the hideous Buffalo Bills. It started off looking so good, as Larry Fitzgerald caught everything thrown his way. David Johnson has been a soldier for fantasy purposes but hasn’t helped the Cardinals in the win/lose column. This is also a get-right week. The Cardinals will get right. The Cardinals get to play at home against the Rams, always a tough divisional match-up. Eight and eight Jeff Fisher needs to get to his .500 record on this season. John Brown saw an increased work load in week three, and he will help stretch the defense out in this game. Larry Fitzgerald, Micheal Floyd, John Brown, and David Johnson will all have at least a hundred receiving yards.

So now that we know none of this is gonna happen, make sure to change your line ups accordingly. 😉 There are many numbers and much data to decide who to start and sit. I don’t know the percentage of times that all those numbers and data are actually right but it can’t be very high. We love football because of the human side. Depending on how a guy slept, how his finances are, how his sex life is, maybe what he had for breakfast…it will effect him. So sometimes it’s better to try to look outside the box. But we see how well that has worked for me. Seriously, if you have a gut feeling, don’t be afraid to go for if. It could win you your week. If it doesn’t, guess what, it’s just a game. Yeah, I look like a moron all the times I’m not even in the ballpark on a gut feeling. The times I hit one though are gonna be super cool. And if you follow your gut one week and go against the grain it could be one of the best stories you’ll have. Most importantly you’ll always have the story to throw in your buddy’s face, the story of beating his or her ass with a diamond in the rough.

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